Modern Orange County estate at dusk
The Long View · Orange County

Markets change. Real estate endures.

Fifty-seven years of Orange County home-price history: every boom, every correction, and a rolling three-year forecast. Hover the chart to read any year; click to see the headlines and policy that shaped the market. This is the context behind the advice I give every client.

Median Sale Price

Orange County · 1968 – 2029

Nominal single-family median, with an inflation-adjusted overlay in 2025 dollars. Forecast years are outlined.

Median Sale Price · Orange County
Historical median
Forecast
NHPES Consensus · blended projection through 2028.
Normal year
Major price surge (>15% YoY)
Mild decline
Financial crisis (>8% drop)
Forecast
↑ Hover any bar for the numbers · click a bar to read that year's story · labeled bars mark major events.
Decade Winners

Every decade has ended higher than it began.

Through inflation, rate shocks, and recessions, Orange County has not closed a single decade lower than it opened.

Drill Down

Explore Orange County by city.

All thirty-four Orange County cities across four regions. Select a city to see its current median and year-over-year movement.

Medians are city-wide; the right panel updates as you select. Beach cities carry the highest medians and tightest supply, while north and central OC remain the county's strongest entry points. Want the full picture for your street? A home-specific valuation is always more precise than a city median.

Loading city data…

The Bipartisan Pattern

Ten administrations. Prices rose under every one.

Five Republican, five Democratic. Housing in Orange County has compounded through them all. The cycle outlasts the news cycle.

8
NBER recessions since 1968, and prices rose through all 8
84%
Of years ended higher than they began (48 of 57)
7.57%
Annual compound return, 1968–2025 (nominal SFR)

Where does your move fit the cycle?

The data tells the long story. I'll help you read it for your home, your timeline, and your goals, with a straight answer and no pressure.

Talk with Johnny

Historical price data sourced from C.A.R. (California Association of Realtors) and First Team Market Intelligence. City-level statistics sourced from Zillow Research public data (updated monthly) and supplemented with C.A.R. and GreatSchools estimates where live data is unavailable. Mortgage rates via FRED / Freddie Mac PMMS (weekly). Forecast figures represent a blended projection and are not a guarantee of future value. All data is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an appraisal, investment advice, or a solicitation. Johnny Tran · REALTOR® · DRE #02365981 · First Team Real Estate.